Dollar Falls Sharply on United States Tariffs Concerns.
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Dollar Falls Sharply on United States Tariffs Concerns.
United States Trade Policies Ignite a Stock Market Meltdown.
Robusta Coffee Recovers on Concern Higher Tariffs on Vietnam Could Curb Robusta Supplies.
Sugar Prices Fall on Risk-Off Sentiment and Crude Oil Weakness.
Cotton Hitting Limit Losses on Thursday.
Hogs Posting Mixed Reaction to Tariffs.
Cattle Falling on Tariff News.
I’m surprised we’re not hearing reports that President Trump is purposefully tanking equity markets to lower U.S. interest rates while giving his “billionaire buddies” an opportunity to buy the correction.
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 228,000 in March, and the unemployment rate changed little at 4.2 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today.
MARCH REVIEW – "The S&P 500 stair-stepped higher into new all-time highs, culminating with the final high on February 19…
MARCH REVIEW – "T-Bonds attempted to rally the first week of February, but failed via a pullback into a 2/12 low of the month.
This month's letter covers March 31st through May 4th.
May Corn closed ¼ cent lower ($4.57 ½), July ¼ cent higher ($4.63 ½) & Dec 1 ¼ cents lower ($4.47 ½)
Financial markets around the world were reeling Thursday following President Donald Trump’s latest and most severe volley of tariffs, and the U.S. stock market may be taking the worst of it.
Wheat is showing signs of life following two weeks of declining values.
The prospective planting report this week showed soybean acres falling 3.5 million to 83.5 million which was considered friendly.
The grains got one monkey off their back this week with the release of the long-awaited prospective planting and grains stocks report which showed a 4.7 million increase in corn acres to 95.3 million, the highest since 2012.
U.S. stocks plummeted Thursday after U.S. President Donald Trump announced comprehensive trade tariffs, prompting fears of an all-out trade war that could result in a global recession.
Gold prices are sharply lower, but up from stronger earlier losses, in midday U.S. trading Thursday.
In a time of institutional upheaval and reappraisal The Trump administration, with help from the Supreme Court, is trying to weaken or abolish Federal regulation by administrative agencies.
US trading partners vowed to retaliate on Thursday after President Trump ended months of suspense by revealing broad reciprocal duties on all countries, in what he has referred to as "Liberation Day."
The March 31st Prospective Plantings report from the USDA was much anticipated and indicated that U.S. producers will shift a significant amount of acreage to corn in 2025.
Equity markets are set to open sharply lower this morning as investors price in heavier-than-expected tariffs and all of the major averages will likely retest their mid-March lows in early trading.
To view charts, once Daily Action Report is open, click on the download button in the upper right corner of article framework. Open downloaded file, charts should now be visible.
In the week ending March 29, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 219,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised level.
Cattle trade is expected to come in steady this week and futures just barely clipped a new high just ahead of the tariff announcements which were going to be made this afternoon.
Feeders got close to their highs made just weeks ago and may be close enough to test these levels, but depending on how these markets trade into the end of this week, it will be anyone’s guess how these tariffs impact the Live Cattle and the Live Cattle will set the direction for feeders.
Soybeans were working higher after Monday’s Planting Intentions report indicated about 3.5 million acres less than a year ago.
Wheat seem to have traded more sideways than anything else this week, but have had an upward bias.
Corn prices actually rallied for a few days after the USDA Planting Intentions report which actually raised the prospect for planted acres above expectations.
Cotton prices saw the largest gains of any market after the USDA Planting Intentions report as planted acres came in lower than the 10.189 million acre estimate with 9.867 million acres.
In the US, the ISM March Services Index is due for release in the afternoon.
The dollar gets ambushed overnight!
Metals are getting sold to pay for other asset losses
The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $122.7 billion in February, down $8.0 billion from $130.7 billion in January, revised.
May Corn closed 4 cents lower ($4.57 ¾), July 3 cents lower ($4.63 ¼) & Dec 1 ¼ cents lower ($4.48 ¾)
Let’s start this letter off with a reality check. Below, you see a chart tracking the performance of the S&P 500 Index since November 1, 2024.
Nature abhors a vacuum, or so they, or potentially Aristotle, once said.
We have continued to emphasize the importance of patience and taking advantage of potential opportunities as they are presented by the financial markets.
U.S. crude oil refinery inputs averaged 15.6 million barrels per day during the week ending March 28, 2025, which was 192 thousand barrels per day less than the previous week’s average.
Wheat prices were down overnight on weekend precipitation over Kansas but came back on bullish USDA acreage intentions and winter wheat area numbers in my opinion.
June Lean Hogs opened lower and broke down to the low of the day at 93.70.
US stocks wavered on Wednesday, trying to shake off earlier losses as Wall Street waited for President Trump to give details of new tariffs that promise to profoundly shake up US trading relations worldwide.
The U.S. Census Bureau announces the February full report on manufacturers’ shipments, inventories and orders:
Most major U.S. indexes closed modestly higher yesterday, masking what was a fairly turbulent session which saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average undergo four swings of 300 points or more throughout the day.
To view charts, once Daily Action Report is open, click on the download button in the upper right corner of article framework. Open downloaded file, charts should now be visible.
Short paper traders make an oaf out of Chuck
Dollar bugs have the light bulb over their heads turned on!
Corn Rallies on April Fool’s Day.
Soybean Rally Led by Bean Oil.
Wheat Holding Strength on Tuesday
The energy sector of the S&P 500 was the top performer for March. It was one of only two sectors posting gains for the month when the market dropped over 4%. Better oil prices helped the gains.
Dollar Sees Support as Stocks Weaken on Tariff Risks
Crude Erases Early Gains on Energy Demand Concerns.
Dollar Sees Support as Stocks Weaken on Tariff Risks.
Stocks Finish Higher as Magnificent Seven Stocks Rally.
Coffee Prices Settle Higher on Supply Concerns.
Sugar Prices Supported by Strength in the Brazilian Real.
Cotton Rally Higher on Tuesday.
Hogs Higher on Tuesday.
Cattle Rallying Higher on Tuesday
In the US, Donald Trump is widely expected to enact new broad-based tariffs with an expansion to measures against Canada and Mexico, while auto tariffs will wait until Thursday.